Shares of PNC Infratech experienced a significant drop, hitting the 20% lower circuit at ₹366 on 21 October. The fall came after the Ministry of Road Transport & Highways imposed a one-year ban on the company, disqualifying it from participating in any of the ministry's tenders. The restriction also extends to its two subsidiaries, PNC Khajuraho Highways and PNC Bundelkhand Highways. For investors considering whether to invest in stocks, this situation presents a crucial development.
The ban, effective from 18 October 2024, was initiated following a series of events, including an FIR and subsequent charge sheet filed by the Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI) in June and August. In response, PNC Infratech attended a personal hearing with the ministry on 18 October, but the disqualification still proceeded.
Ongoing projects remain unaffected
Despite the disqualification, PNC Infratech has clarified that its current development, construction, and operations & maintenance (O&M) activities will continue without disruption. While the company assesses the potential impact on other operations, it aims to keep stakeholders informed about any significant changes.
The ongoing projects are crucial for the company’s portfolio, especially as PNC Infratech recently secured two substantial orders from the Maharashtra State Road Development Corporation. These orders, valued at ₹4,630 crore, encompass two major projects: constructing the access-controlled Pune Ring Road for ₹2,268 crore and building a connector expressway to the Hindu Hrudaysamrat Balasaheb Thackeray Maharashtra Samruddhi Mahamarg from Jalna to Nanded, worth ₹2,362 crore.
Both projects are slated for completion within 30 months under the engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) models.
Share performance under pressure
PNC Infratech’s shares have faced a challenging period, with the stock declining by more than 27% over the past three months. This significantly underperformed the Nifty 50 index, which recorded a modest rise of 1% during the same period. This substantial drop in the stock's value could potentially affect investors’ confidence, especially for those looking to invest in stocks in the infrastructure sector.
Analysts’ views on the stock vary, with 12 out of 16 brokerages assigning a 'buy' rating, three opting for a 'hold' stance, and one issuing a 'sell' recommendation. While the recent setback may cause some concern, a majority of analysts remain cautiously optimistic, given the company’s ongoing projects and recent contract wins.
Impact on future tender opportunities
The ban imposed by the Ministry of Road Transport & Highways could have significant long-term implications for PNC Infratech. The inability to participate in tenders for one year may limit the company’s opportunities to secure new projects, potentially impacting its growth prospects. This restriction comes at a time when infrastructure development in India is on the rise, and losing access to government projects could be a missed opportunity for expansion.
The company now faces the task of mitigating any negative effects of the ban by leveraging its existing projects and securing contracts outside the purview of the road ministry. The challenge lies in maintaining steady revenue growth despite the setback in tender eligibility.
Conclusion
PNC Infratech's current situation reminds investors of the risks inherent in the infrastructure sector. While ongoing projects offer some stability, the ban on road ministry tenders presents a challenging road ahead for the company. Investors will closely watch how PNC Infratech navigates this period, especially in securing new business and managing the impact on its stock performance.