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Shares of Gravita India saw a 3% rise on 21st October, reaching ₹2,600, following Nuvama Institutional Equities' initiation of coverage with a 'buy' recommendation. The brokerage has set a price target of ₹3,475, indicating a potential upside of 38% from the previous close of ₹2,514 on the NSE. 

Gravita India shares have delivered an impressive 130% rally since the beginning of the year, making it a noteworthy stock for investors aiming to invest in stocks with growth potential.

Regulatory changes support growth prospects

Nuvama's optimism is based on various growth drivers, particularly the anticipated increase in battery scrap availability for organised recyclers in India. In September 2024, the Indian government introduced penalties for non-compliance with recycling obligations and implemented a reverse charge mechanism for GST on metal scrap purchases from non-institutional dealers. These measures are expected to benefit Gravita India, a leading player in the recycling industry, as it leverages its pan-India presence to enhance capacity utilisation and achieve significant volume growth in the recycled lead.

Strong fundamentals and financial health

Gravita India's robust balance sheet is another factor contributing to the positive outlook. The company plans to finance future capital expenditures internally, ensuring manageable debt levels. Its high asset turnover and healthy profit margins are projected to deliver strong returns, making it an attractive option for those looking to invest in stocks aligned with environmental, social, and governance (ESG) concerns.

Largest recycled lead producer with extensive network

With a widespread geographic presence across North, West, and South India, Gravita India is the largest recycled lead producer in the country. This extensive network enables the company to efficiently source scrap and cater to a broad customer base, thus minimising competitive risks. The growing demand in the recycling sector presents a substantial opportunity for Gravita to expand its market share further, appealing to investors seeking to invest in stocks poised for long-term growth.

Potential risks and challenges

While Nuvama has a favourable outlook for Gravita India, it also cautioned about certain risks. The brokerage noted that any delays in the company's capital expenditure plans could negatively impact its FY27 earnings per share (EPS) by approximately 9%. 

Additionally, the success of Gravita's growth strategy largely depends on the shift from the informal to the formal sector in India's recycled lead market. Any significant delays in this transition could result in lower-than-expected volume growth, potentially affecting returns for those who invest in stocks like Gravita.

Outlook remains optimistic despite short-term fluctuations

At around 9:20 am, Gravita India shares were trading at ₹2,553, up 1.7% from the last close on the NSE. Despite this slight fluctuation, the long-term growth prospects remain strong, especially for investors looking to invest in stocks with a solid growth trajectory and sustainable business practices.

Conclusion

Gravita India's position as a leading recycler, combined with regulatory support and strong financial fundamentals, makes it a compelling choice for investors aiming to invest in stocks with high growth potential. With Nuvama's 38% upside projection, the stock could present a significant opportunity for returns, provided the company can navigate the risks associated with its capital expansion and market shift strategies.