The BANK NIFTY index ended its four-day losing streak on February 27, 2025, following the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) decision to reverse the increased risk weights on bank loans to Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs).
This policy change is anticipated to enhance banks' lending capacities and positively influence those looking to invest in stocks.
RBI's policy reversal
In November 2023, the RBI raised the risk weights on bank loans to NBFCs by 25 percentage points, aiming to address concerns over asset quality and financial stability. This increase applied to loans where the existing risk weight, based on the NBFC's external rating, was below 100%.
Consequently, banks faced higher capital requirements for lending to highly-rated NBFCs, leading to a slowdown in credit flow to the sector. On February 25, 2025, the RBI announced a rollback of these increased risk weights, effective from April 1, 2025.
Impact on bank lending and NBFCs
The previous increase in risk weights had led to a significant decline in bank lending to NBFCs. According to RBI data, year-on-year growth in bank loans to NBFCs dropped to 6.7% by December 2024, down from 15% in the previous year.
The rollback of the risk weight hike is anticipated to reverse this trend, as banks will now be required to set aside less capital for loans to NBFCs, thereby enhancing their lending capacity. This development could be of interest to individuals who invest in stocks, particularly in the financial sector.
Market analysts suggest that this policy reversal will have a positive impact on bank loan growth and system liquidity in the coming months. They note that banks that had previously raised risk weights, such as Bandhan Bank Limited, IDFC First Bank Limited, and IndusInd Bank Limited, are set to benefit from improved capital adequacy ratios. This improvement may influence decisions for those who invest in stocks within the banking sector.
Analysts' perspectives
Market analysts suggest that the RBI's decision could stimulate credit growth and improve liquidity in the financial system. By lowering capital requirements for banks on loans to NBFCs, the central bank aims to encourage lending to these entities, which play a crucial role in extending credit to various sectors. This policy shift may have a positive impact on the broader economy and could influence investment strategies for those looking to invest in stocks.
Future outlook
The RBI's rollback of the increased risk weights on bank loans to NBFCs marks a significant policy shift aimed at bolstering credit flow and enhancing liquidity in the financial system. This development has been met with positive responses in the banking and NBFC sectors, as evidenced by the recent performance of related stocks.
Investors are advised to monitor these changes closely, as they may present new opportunities for those looking to invest in stocks within the financial sector. As of 3:00 PM on February 27, 2025, NIFTY BANK had risen to 48,838 points.